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Claim-Evidence-Reasoning: Is Harvard Forest a Carbon Sink or Source?

In this assignment, you will use the research background and scientific data collected from Harvard Forest to answer the question: Is the Harvard Forest a carbon source or a carbon sink, and how has its net ecosystem exchange (NEE) changed over time? Use the background information and data provided to construct your response using the Claim-Evidence-Reasoning (CER) framework.

Group 1

Review the research background and data table/graph provided. Use this information to answer the following three questions using the Claim-Evidence-Reasoning (CER) format.

Source 1.1

As humans drive cars and use electricity, we release carbon in the form of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the air. Because CO2 helps to trap heat near the surface of the earth, it is known as a greenhouse gas and contributes to climate change. However, carbon is also an important piece of natural ecosystems, because all living organisms contain carbon. For example, when plants photosynthesize, they take CO2 from the air and turn it into other forms of carbon: sugars for food and structural compounds to build their stems, roots, and leaves. When the carbon in a living tree’s trunk, roots, leaves, and branches stays there for a long time, the carbon is kept out of the air. This carbon storage helps reduce the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. However, not all of the CO2 that trees take from the air during photosynthesis remains as part of the tree. Some of that carbon returns to the air during a process called respiration.

Another important part of the forest carbon cycle happens when trees drop their leaves and branches or die. The carbon that the tree has stored breaks down in a process called decomposition. Some of the stored carbon returns to the air as CO2, but the rest of the carbon in those dead leaves and branches builds up on the forest floor, slowly becoming soil. Once carbon is stored in soil, it stays there for a long time. We can think of forests as a balancing act between carbon building up in trees and soil, and carbon released to the air by decomposition and respiration. When a forest is building up more carbon than it is releasing, we call that area a carbon sink, because overall more CO2 is “sinking” into the forest and staying there. On the other hand, when more carbon is being released by the forest through decomposition and respiration, that area is a carbon source, because the forest is adding more carbon back into the atmosphere than it is taking in through photosynthesis.

In the 1990s, scientists began to wonder what role forests were having in this exchange of carbon in and out of the atmosphere. Were forests overall storing carbon (carbon sink), or releasing it (carbon source)? Bill is one of the scientists who decided to explore this question. Bill works at the Harvard Forest in central Massachusetts, a Long-Term Ecological Research site that specializes in setting up big experiments to learn how the environment works. Bill and his team of scientists realized they could measure the CO2 coming into and out of an entire forest. They built large metal towers that stand taller than the forest trees around them and use sensors to measure the speed, direction, andCO2 concentration of each puff of air that passes by. Bill compares the CO2 in the air coming from the forest to the ones moving down into the forest from the atmosphere. With the CO2 data from both directions, Bill calculates the Net Ecosystem Exchange (or NEE for short). When more carbon is moving into the forest than out, NEE is a negative number because CO2 is being taken out of the air. This often happens during the summer when trees are getting a lot of light and are therefore photosynthesizing. When more CO2 is leaving the forest, it means that decomposition and respiration are greater than photosynthesis and the NEE is a positive number. This typically happens at night and in the winter, when trees aren’t photosynthesizing but respiration and decomposition still occur. By adding up the NEE of each hour over a whole year, Bill finds the total amount of CO2 the forest is adding or removing from the atmosphere that year.

Bill and his team were very interested in understanding NEE because of how important it is to the global carbon cycle, and therefore to climate change. They wanted to know which factors might cause the NEE of a forest to vary. Bill and other scientists collected data on carbon entering and leaving Harvard Forest for many years to see if they could find any patterns in NEE over time. By looking at how the NEE changes over time, predictions can be made about the future: are forests taking up more CO2 than they release? Will they continue to do so under future climate change?

Source 1.2

This is the raw data of the NEE at the Harvard forest for the specified year. The raw data is graphed in the next image.

Source 1.3

This graph shows the NEE levels in the Harvard forest for each year AND the “line of best fit” which graphs the general trend of the data.

Question 1a

Short answer

Claim: Based on the data, is the Harvard Forest a carbon source or a carbon sink?

Source 1a.1

Question 1b

Short answer

Evidence: What evidence from the data supports your claim? Reference specific years, values, or trends in the data table or graph.

Source 1b.2

Question 1c

Short answer

Reasoning: Explain why your evidence supports your claim. In your explanation, connect the data to your understanding of unit content like cell theory, cell organelles, photosynthesis, and cellular respiration.

Source 1c.1

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